GRIDINT RESEARCH · RATES
How fast is everything moving?
16 rates, each computed at build from the records of the report it belongs to — every number here is a speed, not a level, and each one names the record it was computed from. The index is a file you can read: /rates/index.json.
AI & Compute
5.7months per doublingfrontier training compute doubles every 5.7 monthsmodels from 2010, least squares on log₂(FLOP)Epoch AI25.4months per doublingtransistor counts double every 25.4 months in the last decadethe most recent ten years of the recordOWID / Rupp transistor counts65.2% year on yearfiled capital spending grew 65% from FY2024 to FY2025FY2024 → FY2025, filed actuals onlySEC EDGAR XBRL15events tracked15 tracked events on the ledger, 115,875 headsthe desk's own ledger, class-marked per eventthe GRIDINT layoffs ledger (curated, not an official feed)curated192,931records staged192,931 records under management, in 42 downloadable packsthe census at this build, not a claim about the worldGRIDINT (own census)
Energy & Infrastructure
14.8% of entering GW14.8% of queued capacity ever gets built2000–2018 cohorts, capacity-weightedLBNL Queued Up 2025890GW entering890 GW entered the queues in 2023the largest single year on record (2000–2023)LBNL Queued Up 202557.3GW added in the year57 GW entered service in 2025 — the record is 70 GW in 20021950–2025, gross additions by vintageEIA-860M17–46.1GW average load added+17 to +46 GW of average load by 2028 — the floor first2023 → 2028, the published low and high, never averagedLBNL 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Reportprojectedthe floor leads; the published range is never averaged3,222satellites per year3,222 satellites reached orbit a year in the constellation era2024–2026, mean of three yearsCelesTrak1.1percentage points per yearsolar took 1.10 points of world generation a year, trailing five years2020–2025OWID / Ember