GRIDINT Research · AI Economics

The data center decade.

Five companies are building the physical layer of the AI era, and unlike almost every other number in this story, their spending is filed. This report reads the capital-expenditure line of Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, and Nvidia straight from SEC XBRL — 37 filed figures, each with its accession receipt — and finds a shape: a long climb, a dip in fiscal 2023, then the steepest two years in the nine filed here. Beside it, the announced economy: three commitments whose ceilings alone exceed the five builders’ biggest filed year. Every figure on this page is computed from the records at render time.

THE CLIMB

Nine fiscal years, five builders, one line each.

Filed capital expenditure, company by company. Nvidia enters this tag set at FY2022 — earlier sums count four builders, later ones five, and the 5.2× headline compares those two sums as filed. Switch to INDEXED and every company restarts at 100 in its first filed year — the slope, not the size, becomes the story. The company chips isolate any subset. Fiscal years differ by company — Microsoft’s ends in June, Nvidia’s in January — and the method says so rather than pretending alignment.

A1Filed capex per fiscal year — absolute or indexed to each company’s first filed year
WHAT YOU ARE LOOKING AT One line per company, every point a figure filed with the SEC (hover for the dollar value, tag, and accession). Solid to the last complete fiscal year; a company whose new fiscal year is already filed extends further — Microsoft’s FY2026, ended June 2026, is on file at $115.9B.
sourceSEC EDGAR XBRL companyconcept · us-gaap capex tags · accession on every point methodfiscal years as filed, NOT calendar-aligned · AMZN + NVDA use PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets · index base = first filed year = 100
THE KNEE

The dip before the sprint.

Year-over-year change in the five builders’ combined filed capex, complete fiscal years only. The shape nobody remembers: fiscal 2023 was NEGATIVE — the builders cut capex together — and then came the two steepest years of the window. Whatever the AI build-out is, in the filings it has a birthday.

B1Combined builder capex, year over year — dollars or percent
WHAT YOU ARE LOOKING AT Bars are the change in combined filed capex versus the prior fiscal year — hollow when negative, per the mark law. The toggle switches between billions added and percent growth. FY2026 is excluded: only two of five have filed it.
sourcesame filed rows · combined = sum of the five, complete years only methodfiscal years differ by company; the combination is a research aggregate, labeled as one
ANNOUNCED VS FILED

Two economies, one scale.

On the left, the filed economy: what the five builders actually reported spending in their latest complete fiscal year, receipts attached. On the right, the announced economy: three commitments from the Circular Machine whose stated ceilings alone total $430B — more than the five builders’ biggest filed year combined. Same dollar scale, never summed together: one column is history, the other is press.

C1Filed FY2025 actuals beside announced multi-year ceilings — one scale, two species
WHAT YOU ARE LOOKING AT Green bars are filed single-fiscal-year actuals (Microsoft’s filed FY2026 rides as the hatched frontier). Pink bars are announced ceilings — multi-year, staged, conditional — marked † and never added to anything. The gap between the two columns is the gap between accounting and announcement.
sourcefiled: SEC XBRL · announced: the Circular Machine edges, ceiling class methoda ceiling is not spend · the two columns share a scale and NOTHING else
THE LEDGER

All thirty-seven, receipts attached.

Every filed figure on this page, with its XBRL tag and a link to the filing index on EDGAR. Deliberately the last view: a table is the record, not the story.

D1The filed capex ledger — edition 1
sourceSEC EDGAR · every row links its filing index · verification extract, not our data
METHOD

How this was made, and its limits.

The data is official and the pipeline is ours. The diagram is the whole method; the cards are its limits — stated, not buried. We provide no data: every figure traces to a filing a reader can pull, and the download on the hub is a verification extract.

E1The pipeline — from filing to this page
methoddeclared research agent on every fetch · never-clobber writes · missing years render as gaps, not guesses
Fiscal years do not align
Microsoft’s FY ends in June, Nvidia’s in January, the rest in December. Lines are drawn per company as filed; the combined series is a research aggregate and says so.
Two XBRL tags
Amazon and Nvidia file capex as PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets; the others as PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment. The tag is printed on every ledger row.
No company files “AI capex”
Capex includes everything from servers to office buildings. The AI dimension is context from the companies’ own statements — stated, never derived here.
A ceiling is not spend
The announced column carries multi-year, staged, conditional maxima. They are never summed with filed actuals — on this page or any other.
Nvidia is the supplier
Its own capex is small because the build-out’s money arrives AT Nvidia as revenue, not out of it as capex — the asymmetry is the point, not a data gap.
FINDINGS

Four things the filings show.

1The climb is filed, not claimed. The five builders’ combined capex rose from $69B in FY2019 to $361B in FY2025 — 5.2× in six fiscal years, every figure carrying an accession number. → the climb, A1
2Fiscal 2023 was the dip before the sprint. Combined capex FELL 6% in FY2023 — then rose 54% and 65% in the two years after: the steepest filed growth in the window. In the filings, the AI build-out has a birthday. → the knee, B1
3Three announcements outweigh the biggest filed year. The Circular Machine’s ceilings — $100B, $300B, $30B — total $430B, more than the five builders’ combined FY2025 actuals. The announced economy is running ahead of the filed one, and only one of the two is history. → announced vs filed, C1
4The supplier spends least and catches most. Nvidia’s own filed capex peaked at $6B — against the four builders’ hundreds. The build-out’s money arrives AT the chip maker as revenue; it leaves the others as capex. That asymmetry IS the machine. → the climb, A1
A GRIDINT RESEARCH REPORT · AI ECONOMICS · AUTHORED FROM OFFICIAL RECORDS · RENDERED BY THE GRIDINT BUILDER
published 2026-08-29 · data cutoff 2026-08-29 · edition 2 — updated only by a new dated edition

Edition 2 — figures unchanged in every row; provenance corrected: tag labels replaced by the resolvable us-gaap concepts that reproduce them (AMZN·NVDA PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets; GOOGL·MSFT·META PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment).