{
 "generated_from": "one pass over each report's own data.json; fitted rates computed here, stated rates read from the file",
 "law": "where a report states a figure, the file wins — a disagreeing fit is a build failure",
 "rates": [
  {
   "id": "queue-completion",
   "headline": "14.8% of queued capacity ever gets built",
   "value": 14.8,
   "unit": "% of entering GW",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "2000–2018 cohorts, capacity-weighted",
   "direction": "flat",
   "computation": "the report's own cohort completion rate",
   "source_field": "demo/the-queue/data.json → completion_mature",
   "authority": "LBNL Queued Up 2025",
   "report": "/demo/the-queue#queue",
   "family": "Energy & Infrastructure"
  },
  {
   "id": "queue-intake",
   "headline": "890 GW entered the queues in 2023",
   "value": 889.9,
   "unit": "GW entering",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "the largest single year on record (2000–2023)",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "max over entered[year]",
   "source_field": "demo/the-queue/data.json → entered",
   "authority": "LBNL Queued Up 2025",
   "report": "/demo/the-queue#queue",
   "family": "Energy & Infrastructure"
  },
  {
   "id": "build-rate",
   "headline": "57 GW entered service in 2025 — the record is 70 GW in 2002",
   "value": 57.3,
   "unit": "GW added in the year",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "1950–2025, gross additions by vintage",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "sum(addyr GW) per year",
   "source_field": "demo/the-queue/data.json → addyr",
   "authority": "EIA-860M",
   "report": "/demo/the-queue#buildrate",
   "family": "Energy & Infrastructure"
  },
  {
   "id": "dc-wedge",
   "headline": "+17 to +46 GW of average load by 2028 — the floor first",
   "floor": 17.0,
   "ceiling": 46.1,
   "unit": "GW average load added",
   "kind": "projected",
   "window": "2023 → 2028, the published low and high, never averaged",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "(twh_2028_lo/hi − twh_2023) ÷ 8.766",
   "source_field": "demo/the-queue/data.json → dc",
   "authority": "LBNL 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report",
   "report": "/demo/the-queue#load",
   "family": "Energy & Infrastructure"
  },
  {
   "id": "ai-compute",
   "headline": "frontier training compute doubles every 5.7 months",
   "value": 5.7,
   "unit": "months per doubling",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "models from 2010, least squares on log₂(FLOP)",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "OLS on log2(compute) vs year, 2010→",
   "source_field": "demo/faster-than-moore/data.json → models",
   "authority": "Epoch AI",
   "report": "/demo/faster-than-moore",
   "family": "AI & Compute"
  },
  {
   "id": "transistor-pace",
   "headline": "transistor counts double every 25.4 months in the last decade",
   "value": 25.4,
   "unit": "months per doubling",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "the most recent ten years of the record",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "OLS on log2(transistors) vs year, last 10y",
   "source_field": "demo/faster-than-moore/data.json → transistors",
   "authority": "OWID / Rupp transistor counts",
   "report": "/demo/faster-than-moore",
   "family": "AI & Compute"
  },
  {
   "id": "warming-pace",
   "headline": "+0.25 °C per decade over the trailing thirty years",
   "value": 0.252,
   "unit": "°C per decade",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "1996–2025, OLS on the annual anomaly",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "OLS slope × 10",
   "source_field": "demo/the-warming-record/data.json → annual",
   "authority": "NASA GISS GISTEMP v4",
   "report": "/demo/the-warming-record",
   "family": "Earth & Space"
  },
  {
   "id": "debt-pace",
   "headline": "US federal debt grew $7.79B a day over the trailing year",
   "value": 7.79,
   "unit": "$B per day",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "2025-08-25 → 2026-08-25 (365 days)",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "(latest − the row nearest one calendar year earlier) ÷ the days between them, USD millions → billions",
   "source_field": "demo/the-debt-ledger/data.json → daily",
   "authority": "U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data",
   "report": "/demo/the-debt-ledger",
   "family": "Money & Markets"
  },
  {
   "id": "fertility-fall",
   "headline": "world fertility fell 0.49 births per woman in the last decade",
   "value": 0.485,
   "unit": "births per woman, per decade",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "2014 → 2024, population-weighted on 2024 weights",
   "direction": "down",
   "computation": "pop-weighted TFR at y−10 minus at y",
   "source_field": "demo/the-demographic-turn/data.json → countries",
   "authority": "World Bank SP.DYN.TFRT.IN",
   "report": "/demo/the-demographic-turn",
   "family": "People & Conflict"
  },
  {
   "id": "conflict-pace",
   "headline": "61 state-based conflicts active in 2024, against 46 a decade earlier",
   "value": 61,
   "unit": "conflicts active in the year",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "2014 → 2024",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "distinct conflict ids per year",
   "source_field": "demo/the-war-record/data.json → ucdp",
   "authority": "UCDP",
   "report": "/demo/the-war-record",
   "family": "People & Conflict"
  },
  {
   "id": "launch-pace",
   "headline": "3,222 satellites reached orbit a year in the constellation era",
   "value": 3222,
   "unit": "satellites per year",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "2024–2026, mean of three years",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "mean of the last three launch years",
   "source_field": "demo/the-signal-grid/data.json → launch",
   "authority": "CelesTrak",
   "report": "/demo/the-signal-grid#swarm",
   "family": "Energy & Infrastructure"
  },
  {
   "id": "solar-shift",
   "headline": "solar took 1.10 points of world generation a year, trailing five years",
   "value": 1.1,
   "unit": "percentage points per year",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "2020–2025",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "OLS on solar share of generation",
   "source_field": "demo/the-power-mix/data.json → world",
   "authority": "OWID / Ember",
   "report": "/demo/the-power-mix",
   "family": "Energy & Infrastructure"
  },
  {
   "id": "capex-pace",
   "headline": "filed capital spending grew 65% from FY2024 to FY2025",
   "value": 65.2,
   "unit": "% year on year",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "FY2024 → FY2025, filed actuals only",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "sum(filed capex) per fiscal year, full-membership years only",
   "source_field": "demo/data-center-decade/data.json → rows",
   "authority": "SEC EDGAR XBRL",
   "report": "/demo/data-center-decade",
   "family": "AI & Compute"
  },
  {
   "id": "quake-pace",
   "headline": "21.2 earthquakes of M4.5+ a day, trailing 30 days",
   "value": 21.2,
   "unit": "quakes per day",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "a rolling 30-day window · retrieved 2026-08-30 03:17Z",
   "direction": "flat",
   "computation": "quake_count ÷ window_days",
   "source_field": "demo/world-events/data.json → quake_count, window_days",
   "authority": "USGS FDSN",
   "report": "/data/world-events",
   "family": "Earth & Space",
   "rolling": true
  },
  {
   "id": "layoff-ledger",
   "headline": "15 tracked events on the ledger, 115,875 heads",
   "value": 15,
   "unit": "events tracked",
   "kind": "curated",
   "window": "the desk's own ledger, class-marked per event",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "count of events; heads summed",
   "source_field": "demo/ai-economics/layoffs/data.json → events",
   "authority": "the GRIDINT layoffs ledger (curated, not an official feed)",
   "report": "/demo/ai-economics/layoffs",
   "family": "AI & Compute"
  },
  {
   "id": "pack-pace",
   "headline": "192,931 records under management, in 42 downloadable packs",
   "value": 192931,
   "unit": "records staged",
   "kind": "measured",
   "window": "the census at this build, not a claim about the world",
   "direction": "up",
   "computation": "the method tally instrument · packs counted on disk",
   "source_field": "the site's own census",
   "authority": "GRIDINT (own census)",
   "report": "/method",
   "family": "AI & Compute"
  }
 ]
}